People attend a rally in support of former Cuban president Raul Castro, 94, who has been indicted by a US court, outside the US Embassy in Havana
Cubans rally in front of the U.S. Embassy in Havana with portraits of Raúl Castro after his indictment in May. [Source: today.rtl.lu]

In the eyes of American policy elites Cuba’s most unforgivable crime is not even its socialism, which is now badly frayed, but rather its sovereignty. Cuba’s persistent independence and oppositional survival as a state is an American imperial humiliation.

Revolutionary Cuba’s mere existence threatens the cynicism, complacency and defeatism that does so much to maintain imperial order at a global scale. As long as little Cuba—only 90 miles from Florida—can govern itself, there will be dissidents of all political varieties in countries across the Global South who will think: If Cuba can do it, maybe we can change leadership and transform conditions in our country too.

Closely linked to the general abstract threat of Cuba sovereignty are Cuba’s numerous explicit victories against the American foreign policy establishment and, particularly, the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA). 

From the Bay of Pigs in 1961, to Angola in 1975, and other African countries throughout the 1980s, Cuban arms beat CIA-backed forces. Across Latin America in the 1970s and 1980s—in places like El Salvador and Nicaragua—Cuban training and support played a decisive role in beating CIA-supported mercenaries and checking the worst excesses of CIA-backed repressive governments. 

A Cuban tank crew in Angola in the 1970s. [Source: jacobin.com]

The Revolution’s nationalization of U.S. business operations is still deeply resented. But the Cuban economy was long ago forced to adopt, at least partially, a capitalist mode of production.

Many of the expropriated companies could return to Cuba and, perhaps, negotiate limited compensation with the Cuban government in exchange for providing employment, services, technical know-how, and investments in productive capital.

But the U.S. will not let American firms go back, the same way its illegal for Americans who travel to Cuba as tourists to “trade with the enemy.”

These days Cuba exists as a mixed economy that hosts a wide variety of foreign investment and pursues a more modest, survival-oriented, foreign policy. 

But it persists as an autonomous and independent state, and does so despite the U.S.’s best efforts to destroy it. Ending that sovereignty is at the heart of Trump’s current military build-up and intensified economic warfare.

“Now, Will You Be Good?”
1902 cartoon published in Judge, a satirical weekly, depicting a benevolent Uncle Sam looking favorably upon a Cuban child holding the Statue of Liberty, compared with a Filipino “savage” who, instead, insists upon taking up arms against the U.S. When Cuba rebelled, however, asserting its national sovereignty following the 1959 Castro-led revolution, Uncle Sam would grow angry and try to re-establish the neo-colonial relationship that existed at the turn of the 20th century. [Source: ashp.cuny.edu]

Note the prominent role of the CIA in the current pressure campaign. In mid-May it was CIA Director John Ratcliffe, not Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who visited Havana and demanded that the now 95-year-old Raul Castro be handed over for prosecution. His alleged crime is the 1996 downing of two aircraft containing four Cuban Americans as they attempted to scatter counter-revolutionary leaflets over Cuba.

Ratcliffe, lamely, also demanded “fundamental changes” to the Cuban economy, i.e., that it open to foreign investment and allow private ownership of business. Never mind that Cuba already did that starting in 1991, during the so-called “Special Period,” after the collapse of the Soviet Union. 

CIA Director John Ratcliffe in Cuba
CIA Director John Ratcliffe meeting with Cuban officials during his visit to Cuba in May. [Source: foxnews.com]

For the first ten years of the Revolution, Cuba actually had a mixed economy, tens of thousands of small- and medium-sized Cuban-owned businesses continued to operate until the end of the 1960s. Soviet-style, centrally planned, socialism and the almost total abolition of even very small private businesses was introduced in 1968. That economic configuration lasted for only about 22 years of the Revolution’s 67 years of existence.

In fact, the Cuban economy now includes so much private ownership that there has been a decades-long inter-capitalist struggle under way between large and small businesses. The small Airbnb versus the big hotels that are state-backed foreign joint ventures. In fact, the large hotels have, on occasion, wrapped themselves in the flag of socialism in order to call for “anti-capitalist” restrictions to reign in the galloping success of better-run, cheaper, smaller restaurants and guest houses. 

Some on the left maintain that Cuba’s most acute social problems trace back, not to the U.S. embargo or political repression, but to Cuba’s economic liberalization and the inevitable class inequalities that re-created. Whatever the case, that is a debate for another day.

Since the early 1990s, Canadian, Italian and Spanish firms have been heavily invested in nickel mining, hotels, retail, energy, agriculture and technology. Indeed, as the UN put it: “Foreign investments [in Cuba] may be authorized in all sectors except for health, education and the armed forces, excluding the latter’s business systems.” In other words, even the military’s business systems are open to the participation of foreign companies. 

Private sector actors now account for roughly 55% of all retail sales of goods and services in Cuba, while an estimated 1.6 million of Cuba’s 4-million-person work force are employed in the private sector. 

Cuba's Private Sector
Private sector growth in Cuba has been considerable since the 1990s. [Source: borgenproject.org]

Recently, Cuba even changed its laws to allow Cubans living in other countries to own property. This is an open door to the exiles of Miami— known derisively as “gusanos”—to invest and manage property in Cuba and become part of the Cuban capitalist class. 

Alas, such concessions are not enough. Uncle Sam will not allow the Miami Cubans to invest in the old country. The second Trump administration has aggressively increased American sanctions and imposed a crippling oil embargo. 

All of this is driving away foreign investors. For example, Sherritt International, a major Canadian nickel miner, has been forced to leave its joint venture mining nickel and cobalt in Cuba. Other major foreign investors with long-standing operations in Cuba, like Italy’s Lavazza coffee, might also be forced to pull out.

U.S. bullies Canada’s Sherritt corporation out of Cuba
The flag of the Sherritt mining and energy company flies alongside Cuban and Canadian flags at one of the company’s facilities in Cuba. These facilities have been forced to close because of the Trump administration’s policies. [Source: peoplesworld.org]

The new U.S. economic war on Cuba is not actually about expanding the capacity of private firms to do business. It is about imperial hegemony.

The roots of American designs on Cuba run deep. Since early in the Republic, U.S. elites have occasionally expressed a desire for total control of Cuba.  In 1823 an aging Thomas Jefferson, corresponding with James Monroe, wrote: “I candidly confess that I have ever looked on Cuba as the most interesting addition which could ever be made to our system of states.” 

Thomas Jefferson long harbored a desire to make Cuba part of the newly forming United States. In 1809, he wrote to James Madison outlining his dream to erect a column on the Southernmost limit of Cuba inscribed: "Ne plus ultra [i.e., thus far and no farther]."
Thomas Jefferson long harbored a desire to make Cuba part of the newly forming United States. In 1809, he wrote to James Madison outlining his dream to erect a column on the southern-most tip of Cuba, with the inscription: “Ne plus ultra [i.e., thus far and no farther].” [Source: ltamerica.org]

For much of the 20th century, the U.S. held Cuba as a de facto colony. American businesses and American gangsters controlled much of the economy.

When Fidel Castro and the Movimiento 26 de Julio overthrew the U.S.-backed dictator, Fulgencio Batista, in 1959, the American mafiosi who ran Havana’s underworld, were also kicked out. Then U.S. corporations were expropriated, including some very large and well- connected businesses like Standard Oil (now Exxon), which owned more than 100 gas stations on the island. 

Famous image of Fidel Castro and other revolutionaries riding triumphantly into Havana after the defeat of Fulgencio Batista. [Source: cubanews.acn.cu]

Then, in 1961, the Bay of Pigs, a CIA-orchestrated invasion of the island that was designed in large part to justify a U.S. military invasion, went disastrously wrong. 

President John F. Kennedy inherited the operation from the Eisenhower administration when it was still in the planning stages. The young president did not have the guts to cancel the assault outright, but he did significantly reduce support and denied U.S. Air Force coverage of the invaders. As a result, almost 300 of the CIA-sponsored mercenaries were killed on the beach while another 1,200 were captured and held for ransom, eventually being exchanged for tractor parts and other equipment.

Even though the Cuban Revolution has been forced by its own internal contradictions and by the U.S. embargo to open its economy to foreign investment and to allow the development of a domestic capitalist class, the U.S. foreign policy establishment believes that it must humiliate Cuba. The so-called “Blob” will not be satisfied until it turns Cuba back into a gambling den and a whorehouse for American use.

Casino in Havana, c. 1950, when the city was a playground for the U.S. Mafia and the rich. [Source: instagram.com]

The sin of the Cuban political leadership is that they refuse to submit to this agenda. Even as the Revolution has moved away from building socialism of an exclusively state-driven variety, the one thing Cuban leaders have not surrendered is sovereignty, Cubans’ national right to make their own decisions.

CIA spooks and ideologically inbred State Department cadre will not be satisfied until they have rubbed Cuba’s nose in the dirt. One can imagine the war cries ringing down the halls of Langley: Remember the Bay of Pigs!

The need to crush Cuba has added urgency because of the Trump administration’s disastrous war on Iran, which has caused a growing energy crisis and surging inflation. Having been lured into a trap from which he cannot escape without humiliation, Trump needs a diversion.

On top of the Iran quagmire, Trump’s refashioning of global trade has failed. China’s stranglehold over rare earth elements—which are essential to everything from satellites and cruise missiles to smart phones and automobiles—has forced Trump to reduce his tariffs on China to about one-fifth of what he initially promised. 

Trump’s long-established pattern is to cover up crisis A by starting crisis B, and then C, D and E.  Regime change in Cuba seems to be the next crisis. But a war with Cuba would be complicated by the problem of Cuban patriotism and Cuban nationalism.

In fact, the charges against Raúl Castro date back to one of Cuba’s most audacious humiliations of the CIA and the Miami exiles. It is a set of events that also tells us something about the prickly and pugnacious nature of Cuban patriotism.

It started in 1992 when a Cuban Air Force pilot named Juan Pablo Roque stole a MiG jet and defected to Miami. He then ingratiated himself with the right-wing Cuban exile community, married the daughter of one of the scene’s more reactionary leaders, and infiltrated a Miami-based exile group called Brothers to the Rescue. 

Then in 1996— just before two planes sent by Brothers to the Rescue to drop anti-Castro leaflets over Cuba were blown out of the sky by a Cuban fighter jet — Juan Pablo Roque disappeared.

Juan Pablo Roque [Source: fcir.org]

There was speculation Cuban intelligence had kidnapped or killed the dashing defector. Then Roque re-appeared in Cuba. Turned out Roque had been a spy the whole time, feeding information to Cuban intelligence. 

At a press conference in Havana, Roque explained his actions with these words: “I would never betray my country.” 

He did not say I would never betray the Revolution. He said my country.

Juan Pablo Roque’s Miami wife, Ana Margarita Martínez, later sued the Cuban government in an American civil court and was awarded $27 million in damages. Roque remained a vocal supporter of the Revolution until his death after open heart surgery at age 70 in 2025.

José Basulto in a color photo, reading in a photo in front of a microphone and sign that reads, "Asesinados!"
José Basulto [Source: recoveringdemocracyarchives.umd.edu]

The U.S. portrays the downed Brothers to the Rescue pilots as humanitarians. The Cuban government maintains they were aggressive provocateurs, and points out that the organization was founded by José Basulto, a self-admitted CIA operative and Bay of Pigs veteran. 

The Cuban government viewed the Brothers to the Rescue as just one more covert operation in a long list of U.S.-backed aggression. That list includes the infamous 1976 terrorist attack against a Cuban airliner that killed all 73 people on board and was most likely orchestrated by Cuban exiles with assistance from the CIA.[1] 

Also, on the list would be Operation Mongoose, which involved covert sabotage including biological warfare against Cuban agriculture, assassination attempts, and anti-Castro propaganda campaigns. Regardless where you come down on this accounting, the idea that the United States is a paragon of human rights which would now make war just to avenge four civilian deaths that occurred in the mid-1990s is laughable. Let us not pretend.

Admittedly, the first part of a U.S. invasion of Cuba would be a cake walk. But the day after the invasion would likely be the first day of a long and nasty guerrilla resistance. 

Cuba’s defense doctrine—known as “War of All the People”—calls for guerrilla resistance against any invasion. An American occupation of Cuba could be similar to the one in Iraq because, unlike Trump who seems to merely play at nationalism, many Cubans feel the way Roque did—they would never betray their country



  1. Declassified U.S. government documents show that top Clinton administration officials shared the Cuban government’s view of Brothers to the Rescue and had tried to rein in its provocative flights. See CovertAction Magazine article on this here.



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